Prev Next Top Quiz0810

Math 407 Summer 06 Quiz 08-10

Name: ___________________________

Setting
Suppose a criminal has a choice of three cities to hide in each month. The US marshalls can search one of these cities each month. If the marshalls search the same city as the criminal is hiding in, the probability of catching the criminal that month is 5% for city one, 10% for city two, and 15% for city three. The US marshalls will choose a strategy as a probability distribution over the three cities, under the assumption that the criminal will know the strategy. We use the following notation:
 s_j probability (each month) that the marshalls search city  j
 h_j probability (each month) that the criminal hides in city  j
 z the objective function for the marshall problem
 x the vector  (z , s_1, s_2, s_3)^\T
Problem A
What is the matrix  D \in \R^{3 \times 3} such that the US marshalls optimal strategy solve the problem  \[
\begin{array}{ll}
{\rm maximize} 
     & \left[ 
          {\rm min} \; h^\T * D * s  \;  {\rm w.r.t} \; h \in R_+^3
     \right] \;   {\rm w.r.t} \; s \in R_+^3
\\
{\rm subject \; to} 
       & h_1 + h_2 + h_3 = 1
\\
       & s_1 + s_2 + s_3 = 1
\end{array}
\] 


Solution
The probability of finding the criminal on any given month is  \[
     h_1 * .05 * s_1 + h_2 * .10 * s_2 + h_3 * .15 * s_3
\]
(Note that this assumes that, given the strategies, the realizations of the strategies are independent.) If  \[ 
D = \left( \begin{array}{ccc}
.05   & .00 & .00 \\
.00   & .10 & .00 \\
.00   & .00 & .15
\end{array} \right)
\] 
then  h^\T D s^\T is the probability of finding the criminal per month.

Problem B
This is equivalent to a linear programming problem of the form  \[
\begin{array}{ll}
     {\rm maximize} & c^\T * x \; {\rm w.r.t} \; x \in \R_+^4
     \\
     {\rm subject \; to} 
          & A * x \leq b
\end{array}
\] 
where  A \in \R^{5 \times 4} ,  b \in \R^5 , and  c \in \R^4 . Note that  z = x_1 \geq 0 does not add an extra constraint because  s^\T * D * h \geq 0 for all  s \in \R_+^3 and all  h \in \R_+^3 . What is the matrix  A and the vectors  b and  c . (Hint: translate the equality constraint to two inequality constraints.)

Solution
 \[
A = \left( \begin{array}{ccccc}
0 & 1  & 1  & 1  & 1    \\
0 & -1 & -1 & -1 & -1   \\ 
1 & - .05   & .00 & .00 \\
1 & .00   & - .10 & .00 \\
1 & .00   &   .00 & -.15
\end{array} \right)
\; , \;
b = \left( \begin{array}{c}
1 \\ -1 \\ 0 \\ 0  \\ 0
\end{array} \right)
\; , \;
c = \left( \begin{array}{c}
1 \\ 0 \\ 0  \\ 0
\end{array} \right)
\] 


Proposed Strategy
The marshalls have proposed an optimal strategy as     s_1 = 6 / 11 ,  s_2 = 3 / 11 , and  s_3 = 2 / 11 . In addition, they think that the optimal strategy for the criminal is   h_1 = 6 / 11 ,  h_2 = 3 / 11 , and  h_3 = 2 / 11 .

Problem C and D
Show that for the strategy  s proposed above there is a corresponding primal vector  x that is feasible for the problem in B. Compute the corresponding objective value  c^\T x . The dual to the problem in B is  \[
\begin{array}{ll}
     {\rm maximize} & b^\T * y
     \\
     {\rm subject \; to} 
          & A^\T * y \geq c
\end{array}
\] 
Show that there is a feasible  y \in \R^5 that has the dual objective  b^\T y equal to the primal value  c^\T x computed above.

Primal Solution
The proposed primal solution has the form  x = ( z , 6/11 , 6/22 , 6/33 )^\T . For this vector to be primal feasible, we need  \[
A * x 
=
\left( \begin{array}{c}
6 / 11 + 3 / 11 + 2 / 11 
\\
- 6 / 11 - 3 / 11 - 2 / 11 
\\
z - .05 * 6 / 11 
\\
z - .10 * 3 / 11
\\
z - .15 * 2 / 11
\end{array} \right)
=
\left( \begin{array}{c}
1 \\ -1 \\ z - 3 / 110 \\ z - 3 / 110 \\ z - 3 / 110 
\end{array} \right)
\leq
\left( \begin{array}{c}
1 \\ -1 \\ 0 \\ 0 \\ 0 
\end{array} \right)
=
b
\] 
Thus, with  z = 3 / 110 , the vector  x \in \R_+^4 satisfies all the primal constraints. Furthermore, the primal objective is equal to  \[
c^\T * x = z = 3 / 110
\] 


Dual Solution
The proposed dual solution has the form  ( y_1 , y_2 , 6 / 11 , 3 / 11 , 2 / 11) . For this vector to be dual feasible, we need  \[
A^\T * y 
=
\left( \begin{array}{c}
6 / 11 + 3 / 11 + 2 / 11 \\
y_1 - y_2 - .05 * 6 / 11 \\
y_1 - y_2 - .10 * 3 / 11 \\
y_1 - y_2 - .15 * 2 / 11
\end{array} \right)
=
\left( \begin{array}{c}
1 \\ y_1 - y_2 - 3 / 110 \\ y_1 - y_2 - 3 / 110 \\ y_1 - y_2 - 3 / 110 
\end{array} \right)
\geq
\left( \begin{array}{c}
1 \\ 0 \\ 0 \\ 0
\end{array} \right)
=
c
\] 
Thus, with  y_1 = 3 / 100 and  y_2 = 0 the vector  y \in \R_+^5 satisfies all the dual constraints. Furthermore, the dual objective is equal to  \[
b^\T * y = y_1 - y_2 = 3 / 100
\] 

Input File: Quiz0810.omh